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What principle do most people tend to ignore when solving the original version of the Wason four-card problem?

Confirmation principle

Falsification principle

The Wason four-card problem is a well-known cognitive task that illustrates how people reason through conditional statements. The key aspect that most individuals overlook while solving this problem is the falsification principle. This principle emphasizes the importance of seeking evidence that could disprove a hypothesis rather than only looking for evidence that confirms it.

In the context of the Wason task, participants are presented with four cards that have either a letter or a number on one side, and they must decide which cards need to be flipped to test a given conditional statement, such as "If a card has a vowel on one side, then it has an even number on the other side." To effectively test this hypothesis, one must look for instances that could potentially refute it. This means checking cards that show a vowel and also those that show an odd number, as flipping the latter can disprove the statement if it reveals a vowel.

However, many people tend to focus on confirming the hypothesis rather than looking for disconfirming evidence, which is why they often fail to apply the falsification principle in their reasoning. This inclination can lead them to choose cards that do not adequately test the validity of the conditional statement, resulting in incorrect conclusions. Understanding the falsification principle is crucial in developing

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Induction principle

Deduction principle

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